How does agricultural industrial structure upgrading affect agricultural carbon emissions? Threshold effects analysis for China

文献类型: 外文期刊

第一作者: Shi, Hongxu

作者: Shi, Hongxu;Chang, Ming

作者机构:

关键词: Carbon emissions from agriculture; Agricultural processing industry; Panel threshold model; Mechanism analysis; China

期刊名称:ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH ( 影响因子:5.8; 五年影响因子:5.4 )

ISSN: 0944-1344

年卷期: 2023 年 30 卷 18 期

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收录情况: SCI

摘要: China continues to emphasize the importance of reducing agricultural carbon emissions and promoting the upgrading of its agricultural industry structure. However, the relationship between the two is rarely examined. This study aims to investigate the impact of upgrading the agricultural industry structure on agricultural carbon emissions. A two-stage instrumental technique and a threshold regression model are used in this study's analysis. The results indicate that agricultural industrial structure upgrading reduces agricultural carbon emissions by a statistically significant amount above the threshold of 0.378. The examination of the underlying mechanism shows agricultural energy efficiency and off-farm work as mediators of the nonlinear relationship between agricultural industrial structure upgrading and agricultural carbon emissions. Only when the agricultural energy efficiency and off-farm work thresholds are surpassed can improving the structure of the agricultural industry minimize agricultural carbon emissions. Analysis of heterogeneity indicates that the threshold for lowering agricultural carbon emissions is greater in northern China, but the potential for reduction is greater.

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