Climate resilience of dry season cereals in India

文献类型： 外文期刊

第一作者： DeFries, Ruth

作者： DeFries, Ruth;Liang, Shefang;DeFries, Ruth;Liang, Shefang;Chhatre, Ashwini;Davis, Kyle Frankel;Davis, Kyle Frankel;Ghosh, Subimal;Rao, Narasimha D.;Rao, Narasimha D.;Singh, Deepti

作者机构：

期刊名称：SCIENTIFIC REPORTS （ 影响因子：4.6； 五年影响因子：4.9 ）

ISSN： 2045-2322

年卷期： 2023 年 13 卷 1 期

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： India is the world's second largest producer of wheat, with more than 40% increase in production since 2000. Increasing temperatures raise concerns about wheat's sensitivity to heat. Traditionally-grown sorghum is an alternative rabi (winter season) cereal, but area under sorghum production has declined more than 20% since 2000. We examine sensitivity of wheat and sorghum yields to historical temperature and compare water requirements in districts where both cereals are cultivated. Wheat yields are sensitive to increases in maximum daily temperature in multiple stages of the growing season, while sorghum does not display the same sensitivity. Crop water requirements (mm) are 1.4 times greater for wheat than sorghum, mainly due to extension of its growing season into summer. However, water footprints (m(3) per ton) are approximately 15% less for wheat due to its higher yields. Sensitivity to future climate projections, without changes in management, suggests 5% decline in wheat yields and 12% increase in water footprints by 2040, compared with 4% increase in water footprint for sorghum. On balance, sorghum provides a climate-resilient alternative to wheat for expansion in rabi cereals. However, yields need to increase to make sorghum competitive for farmer profits and efficient use of land to provide nutrients.

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