Evaluation and prediction of the effects of planetary orbital variations to earth's temperature changes
文献类型： 外文期刊
第一作者： Cao, Mengmeng
作者： Cao, Mengmeng;Mao, Kebiao;Bateni, Sayed M.;Bateni, Sayed M.;Chen, Jing M.;Chen, Jing M.;Heggy, Essam;Heggy, Essam;Kug, Jong-Seong;Shen, Xinyi
作者机构：
关键词： Planetary motion; Earth's temperature; Greenhouse gases
期刊名称：INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH （ 影响因子：4.9； 五年影响因子：4.7 ）
ISSN： 1753-8947
年卷期： 2025 年 18 卷 1 期
页码：
收录情况： SCI
摘要： The influence of planetary orbital changes on Earth's temperature has been poorly quantified and subject to speculation. Here, we delineated the effects of greenhouse gases and planetary orbital changes on Earth's temperature and forecasted the latter. Our results indicate that Earth's revolution around the Sun and its rotation explain similar to 75.36% and 15.91% of Earth's temperature variations in one year, while the Moon's revolution around the Earth and other planet motions account for 8.26% and 0.26%, respectively. Orbital forcings contributed similar to 11.5% global warming since 1837 and will continue to warm the Earth by similar to 0.13 degrees C from 2020 to 2027. However, orbital forcings may contribute to similar to 0.25 degrees C cooling of Earth from 2027 to 2050, but this effect remains insufficient to offset the warming caused by CO2
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