Prediction of dissolved oxygen content in aquaculture using Clustering-based Softplus Extreme Learning Machine

文献类型： 外文期刊

第一作者： Shi, Pei

作者： Shi, Pei;Li, Guanghui;Shi, Pei;Yuan, Yongming;Li, Guanghui;Huang, Guangyan;Kuang, Liang

作者机构：

关键词： Time series; Dissolved oxygen prediction; Clustering; Extreme learning machine

期刊名称：COMPUTERS AND ELECTRONICS IN AGRICULTURE （ 影响因子：5.565； 五年影响因子：5.494 ）

ISSN： 0168-1699

年卷期： 2019 年 157 卷

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： Accurate and efficient prediction of dissolved oxygen from time series data is critical for aquaculture that needs intelligent management and control. However, data streams of dissolved oxygen that are nonlinear and continuously generated challenge the existing prediction methods. This paper provides a novel Clustering-based Softplus Extreme Learning Machine method (CSELM) to accurately and efficiently predict dissolved oxygen change from time series data. The CSELM adopts k-medoids clustering to group the dataset into different clusters based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) distance, and uses a new Softplus ELM algorithm to discover a common trend in a cluster of time series pieces (within the same period) and then predict the future trend. The Softplus ELM improves ELM using a new activation function, Softplus, to solve the nonlinear and continuous problems of time series data streams and adopting partial least squares (PLS) to avoid the instability of output weight coefficients. The DTW based clustering in CSELM improves the efficiency while tolerating some data loss and uncertain outliers of sensor time series. Softplus based on PLS optimizes the performance and increases the accuracy of ELM. We have demonstrated that CSELM achieves better prediction results than PLS-ELM and ELM models in terms of accuracy and efficiency in a real-world dissolved oxygen content prediction.

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