Impact of growing season temperature on wheat productivity in China

文献类型： 外文期刊

第一作者： You, Liangzhi

作者： You, Liangzhi;Rosegrant, Mark W.;Wood, Stanley;Sun, Dongsheng

作者机构：

关键词： Global warming;Wheat yield;Production function;Marginal impact;Panel data;China

期刊名称：AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY （ 影响因子：5.734； 五年影响因子：5.964 ）

ISSN：

年卷期：

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： Climate change continues to have major impact on crop productivity all over the world. Many researchers have evaluated the possible impact of global warming on crop yields using mainly indirect crop simulation models. Here we use a 1979–2000 Chinesecrop-specific panel dataset to investigate the climate impact on Chinese wheat yield growth. We find that a 1 °C increase in wheat growing season temperature reduces wheat yields by about 3–10%. This negative impact is less severe than those reported in other regions. Rising temperature over the past two decades accounts for a 4.5% decline in wheat yields in China while the majority of the wheat yield growth, 64%, comes from increased use of physical inputs. We emphasize the necessity of including such major influencing factors as physical inputs into the crop yield-climate function in order to have an accurate estimation of climate impact on crop yields.

分类号： S1

  • 相关文献

[1]Projected Changes in Temperature Extremes in China Using PRECIS. Zhang, Yujing,Pan, Jie,Xu, Yinlong,Fu, Liang. 2017

[2]Regional Difference in Food Consumption Away from Home of Urban Residents: A Panel Data Analysis. Dong, Xiaoxia,Hu, Bingchuan. 2010

[3]Simulating the Impacts of Global Warming on Wheat in China Using a Large Area Crop Model. Li Sanai,Li Sanai,Wheeler, Tim,Challinor, Andrew,Lin Erda,Xu Yinlong,Ju Hui. 2010

[4]Influence of 34-years of fertilization on bacterial communities in an intensively cultivated black soil in northeast China. Zhou, Jing,Guan, Dawei,Ma, Mingchao,Qin, Jie,Jiang, Xin,Cao, Fengming,Li, Jun,Zhou, Jing,Chen, Sanfeng,Zhou, Baoku,Zhao, Baisuo,Ma, Mingchao,Jiang, Xin,Cao, Fengming,Shen, Delong,Li, Jun.

[5]A lysimeters study of Chinese wheat and maize varieties: I. The lysimeters-rain shelter facility and the growth and water use of wheat. Gu, Limin,Liu, Peng,Shao, Lijie,Wang, Jingfeng,Dong, Shuting,Zhang, Jiwang,Zhao, Bin,Zhao, Bingqiang,Sun, Wenyan,So, Hwat-Bing.

[6]Global wheat production potentials and management flexibility under the representative concentration pathways. Balkovic, Juraj,Skalsky, Rastislav,Folberth, Christian,Khabarov, Nikolay,Smirnov, Alexey,Obersteiner, Michael,Balkovic, Juraj,van der Velde, Marijn,Skalsky, Rastislav,Xiong, Wei,Xiong, Wei,Mueller, Nathaniel D..

[7]An optimal regional nitrogen application threshold for wheat in the North China Plain considering yield and environmental effects. Wang, Hongyuan,Zhang, Yitao,Liu, Hongbin,Zhai, Limei,Zhang, Yitao,Chen, Anqiang,Lei, Baokun,Ren, Tianzhi.

[8]Coupling life-cycle assessment and the RothC model to estimate the carbon footprint of green manure-based wheat production in China. Yao, Zhiyuan,Zhang, Dabin,Yao, Pengwei,Liu, Na,Zhai, Bingnian,Huang, Donglin,Gao, Yajun,Zhao, Na,Zhang, Suiqi,Li, Yangyang,Cao, Weidong,Zhang, Dabin,Zhai, Bingnian,Huang, Donglin,Gao, Yajun.

[9]Study on a harvester navigation and yield analysis system. Yuan Yanwei,Zhang Xiaochao,Hu Xiaoan.

[10]Effects of conservation tillage practices on winter wheat water-use efficiency and crop yield on the Loess Plateau, China. Su, Ziyou,Zhang, Jinsong,Wu, Wenliang,Cai, Dianxiong,Lv, Junjie,Jiang, Guanghui,Huang, Jian,Gao, Jun,Hartmann, Roger,Gabriels, Donald. 2007

[11]Genetic differentiation in seven geographic populations of the fleshy shrimp Penaeus (Fenneropenaeus) chinensis based on microsatellite DNA. Meng, Xian Hong,Wang, Qing Yin,Liu, Ping,Kong, Jie,Meng, Xian Hong,Jang, In Kwon.

[12]Experimental temperature elevation promotes the cooperative ability of two natural enemies in the control of insect herbivores. Jiang, Jie-Xian,Yang, Jun-Hua,Ji, Xiang-Yun,Zhang, Hao,Wan, Nian-Feng,Wan, Nian-Feng. 2018

[13]Progressive and active adaptations of cropping system to climate change in Northeast China. Chen, Changqing,Qian, Chunrong,Zhang, Weijian,Deng, Aixing,Zhang, Weijian. 2012

[14]Effects of 3-year air warming on growth of two perennial grasses (Phragmites australis and Imperata cylindrica) in a coastal salt marsh reclaimed for agriculture. Zhong, Qicheng,Zhong, Qicheng,Gong, Jinnan,Wang, Kaiyun,Gong, Jinnan,Zhang, Chao. 2014

[15]Cropping system innovation for coping with climatic warming in China. Deng, Aixing,Zhang, Weijian,Chen, Changqing,Feng, Jinfei,Chen, Jin. 2017

[16]Responses of plant community coverage to simulated warming and nitrogen addition in a desert steppe in Northern China. Wang, Zhen,Zhao, Mengli,Han, Guodong,Wang, Zhen,Li, Yuanheng,Hao, Xiying.

[17]Responses of biomass growth and grain yield of midseason rice to the anticipated warming with FATI facility in East China. Zhang, Weijian,Dong, Wenjun,Chen, Jin,Zhang, Bin,Tian, Yunlu,Zhang, Weijian.

[18]Phenological response of peach to climate change exhibits a relatively dramatic trend in China, 1983-2012. Li Yong,Wang Lirong,Zhu Gengrui,Fang Weichao,Cao Ke,Chen Changwen,Wang Xinwei,Wang Xiaoli,Li Yong.

[19]Differences in the impacts of nighttime warming on crop growth of rice-based cropping systems under field conditions. Chen, Jin,Peng, Chunrui,Chen, Changing,Tian, Yunlu,Zhang, Xin,Zhang, Jun,Zheng, Chengyan,Deng, Aixing,Song, Zhenwei,Zhang, Weijian,Dong, Wenjun,Zhang, Bin.

[20]Aboveground morphological traits do not predict rice variety effects on CH4 emissions. Zhang, Yi,Jiang, Yu,Wang, Xiaofei,Hang, Xiaoning,Zhang, Weijian,Li, Zhijie,Zhu, Xiangchen,Deng, Aixing,Zhang, Jun,Zhang, Weijian,Chen, Jin.

作者其他论文 更多>>

微信小程序