Modelling and predicting crop yield, soil carbon and nitrogen stocks under climate change scenarios with fertiliser management in the North China Plain

文献类型： 外文期刊

第一作者： Zhang, Xubo

作者： Zhang, Xubo;Xu, Minggang;Sun, Nan;Zhang, Xubo;Wu, Lianhai;Xiong, Wei;Huang, Shaomin

作者机构：

关键词： Climate change;SPACSYS;Wheat;Maize;Yield;Soil organic matter

期刊名称：GEODERMA （ 影响因子：6.114； 五年影响因子：6.183 ）

ISSN：

年卷期：

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： Changes in field management and climate will alter soil organic carbon (SOC) and nitrogen (SN) cycling in the coming decades. This study is to quantify the effects of various fertilisation strategies and climate change scenarios on crop yield, and soil C and N cycling by the end of this century. Data from a long-term experiment with a winter wheat (Triticum aestivium L.) and summer maize (Zea mays L.) rotation in Northern China was used to calibrate and validate the SPACSYS model. Five fertiliser practices were used: control (CK); combined mineral nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium (NPK); NPK plus manure (NPKM); high application rate of NPK fertilisers plus manure (hNPKM) and NPK with straw incorporation (NPKS). Crop yields, and SOC and SN stocks by 2100 were predicted under four climate scenarios (Baseline, RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP4.5). Results showed that the SPACSYS model can adequately simulate the dynamics of SOC and SN stocks and the yields of winter wheat and summer maize. An application of NPK plus manure or straw not only enhanced crop yield, but also substantially increased SOC and SN stocks. The predictions showed the positive effects of fertilisation and climate change on crop yields and SOC stocks compared with those under the baseline. However, SN stock under the RCP8.5 decreased by 3-14% by 2100 for various fertilisation strategies compared with that under the baseline. On the other hand, mineral fertiliser plus manure led to a higher soil respiration rate and nitrogen losses through leaching and surface runoff under all the climate scenarios. Therefore, application of mineral fertilisers plus manure could enhance crop productivity and sustain soil fertility but cause more carbon emitted to the atmosphere and nitrogen losses. More attention should be paid on optimising fertilisation in order to increase crop productivity while minimising environmental risks. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

分类号： S15

  • 相关文献

[1]Greenhouse gas emissions and stocks of soil carbon and nitrogen from a 20-year fertilised wheat -maize intercropping system: A model approach. Zhang, Xubo,Xu, Minggang,Sun, Nan,Wang, Boren,Zhang, Xubo,Wu, Lianhai,Liu, Jian.

[2]Contribution of Drought to Potential Crop Yield Reduction in a Wheat-Maize Rotation Region in the North China Plain. Hu Ya-nan,Xu Yin-long,Pan Jie,Hu Ya-nan,Tang Hua-jun,Liu Ying-jie. 2014

[3]Short-term water management at early filling stage improves early-season rice performance under high temperature stress in South China. Kong, Leilei,Ashraf, Umair,Cheng, Siren,Rao, Gangshun,Mo, Zhaowen,Tian, Hua,Pan, Shenggang,Tang, Xiangru,Kong, Leilei,Ashraf, Umair,Cheng, Siren,Rao, Gangshun,Mo, Zhaowen,Tian, Hua,Pan, Shenggang,Tang, Xiangru.

[4]Future climate change, the agricultural water cycle, and. agricultural production in China. Tao, F,Yokozawa, M,Hayashi, Y,Lin, E.

[5]The maize evapotranspiration in the background of climate change: a case study in arid area. Liu, Buchun,Mei, Xurong,Lv, Guohua,Wu, Yongfeng,Song, Jiqing,Bai, Wenbo,Liu, Buchun,Mei, Xurong,Lv, Guohua,Wu, Yongfeng,Song, Jiqing,Bai, Wenbo,Liu, Buchun,Mei, Xurong,Lv, Guohua,Wu, Yongfeng,Song, Jiqing,Bai, Wenbo,Yang, Youlu,Bai, Meilan.

[6]SHORT COMMUNICATION: Climate change and biofuel wheat: A case study of southern Saskatchewan. Wang, Hong,He, Yong,McConkey, Brian,Cutforth, Herb,McCaig, Tom,McLeod, Grant,Zentner, Robert,DePauw, Ron,Brandt, Kelsey,Liu, Tingting,He, Yong,Qian, Budong,Lemke, Reynald,Liu, Tingting,Qin, Xiaobo,White, Jeffrey,Hunt, Tony,Hoogenboom, Gerrit. 2012

[7]Analysis of the decrease of center pivot sprinkling system uniformity and its impact on maize yield. Li Lianhao,Li Lianhao,Zhang Xinyue,Qiao Xiaodong,Liu Guiming. 2016

[8]Production of Sugar Beet and Maize as Energy Crops in Saline Alkali Soil. Geng, Gui,Yu, Lihua,Song, Fuqiang,Yang, Fengshan,Zhao, Huijie,Geng, Gui,Yu, Lihua. 2013

[9]MAIZE GROWTH, YIELD FORMATION AND WATER-NITROGEN USAGE IN RESPONSE TO VARIED IRRIGATION AND NITROGEN SUPPLY UNDER SEMI-ARID CLIMATE. Ashraf, Umair,Pan, Shenggang,Tang, Xiangru,Ashraf, Umair,Pan, Shenggang,Tang, Xiangru,Salim, Mazhar Noor,Sher, Alam,Khan, Aqil,Sabir, Sabeeh-ur-Rasool. 2016

[10]Evaluation of the yield and nitrogen use efficiency of the dominant maize hybrids grown in North and Northeast China. Chen FanJun,Yuan LiXing,Mi GuoHua,Zhang FuSuo,Fang ZenGuo,Gao Qiang,Ye YouLiang,Jia LiangLiang. 2013

[11]Soil application of zinc fertilizer could achieve high yield and high grain zinc concentration in maize. Liu, Dun-Yi,Zhang, Wei,Yan, Peng,Chen, Xin-Ping,Zhang, Fu-Suo,Zou, Chun-Qin,Yan, Peng.

[12]Photosynthetically active radiation determining yields for an intercrop of maize with cabbage. Wang, Qingsuo,Sun, Dongbao,Hao, Hong,Zhao, Xuejiao,Hao, Weiping,Liu, Qiong.

[13]Correlation Analysis of Yield and Photosynthetic Traits with Simple Repeat Sequence (SSR) Markers in Maize. Li, Weizhong,Zhao, Dongxu,Wei, Shi,Li, Jing,Li, Weizhong,Wang, Maoqing,Hu, Guohua,Liang, Chunbo. 2017

[14]Simple nonlinear model for the relationship between maize yield and cumulative water amount. Liu Cheng,Yang Xiao-hong,Li Jian-sheng,Liu Cheng,Sun Bao-cheng,Tang Huai-jun,Xie Xiao-qing,Wang Tian-yu,Li Yu,Zhang Deng-feng,Shi Yun-su,Song Yan-chun. 2017

[15]Effects of Environment Variables on Maize Yield and Ear Characters. Yu, Jilin,Qi, Hua,Nie, Linxue,Liu, Ming,Lin, Zhiqiang,Gao, Mingchao,Zhang, Weijian,Zheng, Hongbing. 2013

[16]Relationship between population competitive intensity and yield in maize cultivars. Zhai Li-chao,Xie Rui-zhi,Li Shao-kun,Fan Pan-pan,Zhai Li-chao. 2017

[17]Identifying critical nitrogen application rate for maize yield and nitrate leaching in a Haplic Luvisol soil using the DNDC model. Zhang, Yitao,Wang, Hongyuan,Liu, Shen,Lei, Qiuliang,Zhai, Limei,Liu, Hongbin,Liu, Jian,He, Jianqiang,Ren, Tianzhi.

[18]Quantitative trait loci mapping of yield and related traits using a high-density genetic map of maize. Chen, Lin,Li, Chunhui,Li, Yongxiang,Song, Yanchun,Zhang, Dengfeng,Wang, Tianyu,Li, Yu,Shi, Yunsu.

[19]Intercropping influenced the occurrence of stripe rust and powdery mildew in wheat. Luo, Huisheng,Jin, Ming'an,Jin, Shelin,Jia, Qiuzhen,Zhang, Bo,Huang, Jin,Wang, Xiaoming,Sun, Zhenyu,Shang, Xunwu,Cao, Shiqin,Duan, Xiayu,Zhou, Yilin,Chen, Wanquan,Liu, Taiguo.

[20]Two Novel AP2/EREBP Transcription Factor Genes TaPARG Have Pleiotropic Functions on Plant Architecture and Yield-Related Traits in Common Wheat. Li, Bo,Li, Qiaoru,Mao, Xinguo,Li, Ang,Wang, Jingyi,Chang, Xiaoping,Hao, Chenyang,Zhang, Xueyong,Jing, Ruilian. 2016

作者其他论文 更多>>

微信小程序