The spatio-temporal distribution and risk factors of thyroid cancer during rapid urbanization-A case study in China
文献类型： 外文期刊
作者： Fei, Xufeng 1 ; Chen, Wanzhen 3 ; Zhang, Shuqing 4 ; Liu, Qingmin 5 ; Zhang, Zhonghao 6 ; Pei, Qing 8 ;
作者机构： 1.Zhejiang Acad Agr Sci, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
2.Minist Agr China, Informat Traceabil Agr Prod, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.East China Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Social Work, Shanghai, Peoples R China
4.Tengzhou Maternal & Child Hlth Hosp, Tengzhou, Peoples R China
5.Hangzhou Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
6.Shanghai Normal Univ, Inst Urban Studies, Shanghai, Peoples R China
7.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm Resources, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China
8.Educ Univ Hong Kong, Dept Social Sci, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
关键词： Thyroid cancer; Spatial scan statistics; Geographically weighted regression; Industrial density; Chemical oxygen demand
期刊名称：SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT （ 影响因子：7.963； 五年影响因子：7.842 ）
ISSN： 0048-9697
年卷期： 2018 年 630 卷
页码：
收录情况： SCI
摘要： Background: Incidences of thyroid cancer (TC) have been increasing worldwide in recent decades. In this research, we aimed to analyze the spatiotemporal pattern of TC and explore relevant environmental risk factors in Hangzhou (HZ), which is rapidly urbanizing and home to the highest TC incidence in China. Methods: Spatial scan statistic was employed to analyze the spatiotemporal pattern of TC in HZ from 2008 to 2012. The geographically weighted regression model (GWR) was implemented to explore environmental risk factors. Its performance was compared to the traditional ordinary least squares model (OLS). Results: A total of 7147 TC cases (5385 female and 1762 male) were diagnosed in HZ from 2008 to 2012. High TC clusters were detected in the northeast, urban areas and expanded outwards while low clusters were located in the southwest rural areas. The GWR model generally performed better than the OLS in analyzing the associations between TC incidence and environmental factors. The industrial density, chemical oxygen demand of wastewater (COD) and the percentage of building area had a strong positive influence on the TC in the northeastern suburb areas of HZ, while the elevation, slope and the percentage of forest area had a significant negative correlation with TC in the middle, rural areas of HZ. Meanwhile, the accessibility to health care might have an impact on the TC incidence. Conclusion: High clusters were mostly located in the northeastern urban areas and showed an expansion process from the center urban area to the suburb area, especially for female TC. Intensive industrial activities and the emission of organic pollutants, which positively correlated with the high TC clusters in the northeast suburb areas of HZ, should get proper attention. (C) 2018 Published by Elsevier B.V.
- 相关文献
作者其他论文 更多>>
-
Estimating the spatial distribution and exploring the factors influencing cultivated land quality through a hybrid random forest and Bayesian maximum entropy model
作者：Fei, Xufeng;Lou, Zhaohan;Sheng, Meiling;Xiang, Mingtao;Ren, Zhouqiao;Lv, Xiaonan;Fei, Xufeng;Sheng, Meiling;Xiang, Mingtao;Ren, Zhouqiao;Lv, Xiaonan;Xiao, Rui
关键词：Soil quality; Spatial analysis; Bayesian maximum entropy; Influencing factors; Machine learning
-
Exploring the spatio-temporal dynamics and driving mechanisms of toxic metal pollution in soil using a hybrid machine learning-based model
作者：Xiang, Mingtao;Lou, Zhaohan;Sheng, Meiling;Ren, Zhouqiao;Fei, Xufeng;Lv, Xiaonan;Xiang, Mingtao;Sheng, Meiling;Ren, Zhouqiao;Fei, Xufeng;Lv, Xiaonan;Xiao, Rui
关键词：Toxic metals; Risk assessment; Spatio-temporal variation; Source-oriented health risk; Driving factors
-
Ecological security and structural optimization of land space in the Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration: an approach based on the footprint family
作者：Huang, Cong;Yin, Hanyu;Cao, Wei;Tan, Wenfang;Chen, Jiali;Xiao, Rui;Liu, Jun;Zhang, Zhonghao;Liu, Lumeng;Fei, Xufeng;Xu, Chen;Li, Kai
关键词：Land space; Footprint family; Ecological security; Land spatial planning
-
Quantitative heterogeneous source apportionment of toxic metals through a hybrid method in spatial random fields
作者：Fei, Xufeng;Lou, Zhaohan;Sheng, Meiling;Lv, Xiaonan;Ren, Zhouqiao;Fei, Xufeng;Sheng, Meiling;Lv, Xiaonan;Ren, Zhouqiao;Xiao, Rui
关键词：Toxic metal; Source analysis; Bayesian maximum entropy; Positive matrix factorization; Integrative predictability criterion
-
Different "nongrain" activities affect the accumulation of heavy metals and their source-oriented health risks on cultivated lands
作者：Fei, Xufeng;Lou, Zhaohan;Sheng, Meiling;Lv, Xiaonan;Ren, Zhouqiao;Fei, Xufeng;Sheng, Meiling;Lv, Xiaonan;Ren, Zhouqiao;Xiao, Rui
关键词：Nongrain; Cultivated land; Heavy metal; Risk assessment; Source apportionment
-
Travel Characteristics of Urban Residents Based on Taxi Trajectories in China: Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Wuhan
作者：Chang, Xueli;Chen, Haiyang;Li, Jianzhong;Fei, Xufeng;Xu, Haitao;Xiao, Rui
关键词：traffic sustainability; residents travel pattern; urban morphology; least squares regression; geographically weighted regression
-
Estimation of Spring Maize Planting Dates in China Using the Environmental Similarity Method
作者：Sheng, Meiling;Fei, Xufeng;Ren, Zhouqiao;Deng, Xunfei;Sheng, Meiling;Fei, Xufeng;Ren, Zhouqiao;Deng, Xunfei;Zhu, A-Xing;Ma, Tianwu;Zhu, A-Xing;Ma, Tianwu;Zhu, A-Xing
关键词：maize; planting dates; environmental similarity; the third law of geography; spatial prediction
