The Current and Future Potential Geographical Distribution of the Solanum Fruit Fly, Bactrocera latifrons (Diptera: Tephritidae) in China

文献类型： 外文期刊

第一作者： Li, Zhihong

作者： Li, Zhihong;Ni, Wenlong;Qu, Weiwei;Wu, Jiajiao;Hu, Xuenan;Wan, Fanghao

作者机构：

关键词： ArcGIS;Bactrocera latifrons (Hendel);climate change;CLIMEX;potential geographical distribution

期刊名称：COMPUTER AND COMPUTING TECHNOLOGIES IN AGRICULTURE V, PT I

ISSN： 1868-4238

年卷期： 2012 年 368 卷

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： The solanum fruit fly, Bactrocera latifrons (Bendel), is a major pest throughout South and South East Asia, including very few parts of southern China, and has invaded Hawaii and recently the continent of Africa (Tanzania and Kenya). With the development of international trade in fruits and vegetables, B. latifrons has become a potential threat to Chinese agriculture. In this study, CLIMEX 3.0 and ArcGIS 9.3 were used to predict the current and future potential geographical distribution of B. latifrons in China. Under current climatic conditions, its projected potential distribution includes most parts of southern China (about 32.2% of all 748 meteorological stations), from 1 6.544 degrees N to 32.442 degrees N. Optimal climate conditions occur in most areas of Yunnan, Guizhou, Sichuan, Chongqing, Hunan, Hubei, Jiangxi, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangdong, Guangxi, Hainan, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macao. The factors limiting the boundary of its suitability range are mainly the cold and dry stress. Climate change scenario for the 2020s indicates that the future potential geographical distribution will be increased by 5% of the total land areas of China, and the northern distribution boundary will move from 32.442 degrees N to 33.408 degrees N. There are 34 non-suitable climate sites change into suitable, mainly in Jiangsu, Anhui, Henan, Shanxi, Gansu, Sichuan and Tibet, because of China is likely to become hotter and wetter in the 2020s. In order to prevent the introduction and spread of B. latifrons, the present plant quarantine and monitor measures should be enhanced more where are projected to be suitable areas under current as well as future climatic conditions. At the same time, we should strengthen education for the public's awareness of plant protection.

分类号：

  • 相关文献

[1]Potential geographical distribution of Rhagoletis pomonella (Diptera: Tephritidae) in China. Li, Zhi-Hong,Lu, Xiao-Yu,Geng, Jian,Rajotte, Edwin G.,Wan, Fang-Hao,Wang, Zhi-Ling. 2011

[2]Including climate change in pest risk assessment: the peach fruit fly, Bactrocera zonata (Diptera: Tephritidae). Li, Z. H.,Qu, W. W.,Zhang, Z.,Ni, W. L.,Chen, H. J.,Wan, F. H.,Kriticos, D. J.. 2012

[3]The Current and Future Potential Geographic Range of Corynespora Leaf Fall Disease in China. Qu, Weiwei,Li, Zhihong,Ni, Wenlong,Huang, Guixiu,Lin, Chunhua.

[4]THE POTENTIAL GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF BACTROCERA DORSALIS (DIPTERA: TEPHRIDIDAE) IN CHINA BASED ON EMERGENCE RATE MODEL AND ARCGIS. Li, Zhihong,Wu, Jiajiao,Rajotte, Edwin G.,Rajotte, Edwin G.,Wan, Fanghao,Wang, Zhiling. 2009

[5]Development characteristics of the box-tree moth Cydalima perspectalis and its potential distribution in Europe. Nacambo, S.,Leuthardt, F. L. G.,Haye, T.,Kenis, M.,Nacambo, S.,Leuthardt, F. L. G.,Baur, B.,Wan, H.,Li, H.,Wan, H.,Li, H.,Weiss, R. M.. 2014

[6]Comparison of greenhouse gas emissions of chemical fertilizer types in China. Zhan-biao Wang,Jing Chen,Shu-chun Mao,Ying-chun Han,Fu Chen,Li-feng Zhang,Ya-bing Li,Cun-dong Li.

[7]Food Security, Food Prices and Climate Change in China: a Dynamic Panel Data Analysis. Wang, Jintian. 2010

[8]Climate change and glacier area variations in China during the past half century. Tian Hong-zhen,He Ying-bin,Tian Hong-zhen,Yang Tai-bao,Lv Hui,Li Cheng-xiu,Li Cheng-xiu,He Ying-bin. 2016

[9]NDVI-Based Long-Term Vegetation Dynamics and Its Response to Climatic Change in the Mongolian Plateau. Bao, Gang,Zhou, Yi,Bao, Gang,Bao, Yuhai,Qin, Zhihao,Li, Wenjuan,Sanjjav, Amarjargal. 2014

[10]Evaluation of changes in ecological security in China's Qinghai Lake Basin from 2000 to 2013 and the relationship to land use and climate change. Wang, Hong,Li, Xiaobing,Yu, Feng,Long, Huiling. 2014

[11]Sustainable bioenergy production with little carbon debt in the Loess Plateau of China. Liu, Wei,Sang, Tao,Peng, Cheng,Chen, Zhifen,Liu, Yue,Yan, Juan,Li, Jianqiang,Sang, Tao,Sang, Tao. 2016

[12]Progressive and active adaptations of cropping system to climate change in Northeast China. Chen, Changqing,Qian, Chunrong,Zhang, Weijian,Deng, Aixing,Zhang, Weijian. 2012

[13]Effects of climate change and cultivar on summer maize phenology. Chen, F.,Wang, Zh.,Chen, J.,Li, Y.,Wang, Zh.,Li, C.,Zhang, L.. 2016

[14]Simulating the Impacts of Global Warming on Wheat in China Using a Large Area Crop Model. Li Sanai,Li Sanai,Wheeler, Tim,Challinor, Andrew,Lin Erda,Xu Yinlong,Ju Hui. 2010

[15]Spatiotemporal variation of drought characteristics in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, China under the climate change scenario. Li Xiang-xiang,Ju Hui,Yan Chang-rong,Liu Qin,Li Xiang-xiang,Garre, Sarah,Liu Qin,Batchelor, William D.. 2017

[16]Application of GIS technology to build climatic scene in 2036 and 2056 in China. Xu, B,Chen, ZX,Qin, ZH,Liu, J,Yang, XC,Xin, XP. 2005

[17]Weakening density dependence from climate change and agricultural intensification triggers pest outbreaks: a 37-year observation of cotton bollworms. Ouyang, Fang,Zhang, Yong-Sheng,Hui, Cang,Ge, Saiying,Men, Xin-Yuan,Zhao, Zi-Hua,Shi, Pei-Jian,Zhang, Yong-Sheng,Li, Bai-Lian. 2014

[18]Effects of elevated CO2 on the interspecific competition between two sympatric species of Aphis gossypii and Bemisia tabaci fed on transgenic Bt cotton. Li, Zhi-Yi,Chen, Fa-Jun,Liu, Tong-Jin,Xiao, Neng-Wen,Li, Jun-Sheng. 2011

[19]Projecting regional climate and cropland changes using a linked biogeophysical-socioeconomic modeling framework: 1. Model description and an equilibrium application over West Africa. Wang, Guiling,Ahmed, Kazi Farzan,Yu, Miao,Ji, Zhenming,You, Liangzhi,You, Liangzhi,Yu, Miao,Pal, Jeremy,Ji, Zhenming. 2017

[20]Daily temperature extremes play an important role in predicting thermal effects. Ma, Chun-Sen,Hoffmann, Ary A.,Hoffmann, Ary A..

作者其他论文 更多>>

微信小程序