Modeling Agricultural Catastrophic Risk

文献类型: 外文期刊

第一作者: Xu Lei

作者: Xu Lei;Zhang Qiao

作者机构:

关键词: agricultural catastrophic risk;extreme value theory;BMM model;POT model

期刊名称:INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON AGRICULTURAL RISK AND FOOD SECURITY 2010

ISSN: 2210-7843

年卷期: 2010 年 1 卷

页码:

收录情况: SCI

摘要: The paper aims to develop approaches for modeling agricultural catastrophic risk. According to extreme value theory, this study applies the block maxima and peak-over-threshold models to analyze and evaluate the agricultural catastrophic risk illustrated by cases of extreme rainfall in Jilin Province. This study provides the basic statistical analysis framework for evaluating agricultural catastrophic risk. (C) 2010 Published by Elsevier B.V.

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