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Study on the spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of farmland abandonment on a county scale

文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Wang, Cheng 1 ; Su, Yue 1 ; He, Shan 2 ; Xie, Yan 1 ; Xia, Panpan 1 ; Cui, Yanglin 3 ;

作者机构： 1.Anhui Agr Univ, Sch Econ & Management, 130 Changjiangxilu, Hefei 230036, Anhui, Peoples R China

2.China Jiliang Univ, Coll Econ & Management, Hangzhou 310058, Peoples R China

3.Nanjing Agr Univ, Sch Agr, 1 Weigang, Nanjing 210095, Peoples R China

4.Beijing Acad Agr & Forestry Sci, Res Ctr Informat Technol, Beijing 100097, Peoples R China

关键词： Farmland abandonment; Spatiotemporal evolution; Influencing factors; Yangtze River Delta; Pingyang County

期刊名称：ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH （ 影响因子：5.8； 五年影响因子：5.4 ）

ISSN： 0944-1344

年卷期： 2023 年 30 卷 30 期

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： The protection of farmland resources is related to world food security, as well as the smooth realization of the goals of UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development and China's Rural Revitalization Plan. As the most active region in the global economic development and one of the main grain producing areas, the problem of farmland abandonment in the Yangtze River Delta gradually appears with the rapid development of urbanization. Therefore, based on the interpretation data of remote sensing images and field survey data of three periods in 2000, 2010, and 2018, this study used Moran's I and geographical barycenter model to reveal the spatiotemporal evolution law of farmland abandonment in Pingyang County of the Yangtze River Delta. And then, this study selected 10 indicators covering four categories: geography, proximity, distance, and policy, and used random forest model to reveal the main influencing factors of farmland abandonment in the study area. The results showed that the abandoned farmland increased from 441.58 hm(2) in 2000 to 5797.40 hm(2) in 2018. The hot spot and barycenter of land abandonment gradually shifted from the western mountainous areas to the eastern plain areas. Altitude and slope were the main factors affecting the farmland abandonment. The high the altitude and the great the slope, the farmland abandonment in mountainous areas were serious. The proximity factors had a greater impact on the expansion of farmland abandonment from 2000 to 2010, and then the impact weakened. In view of the above analysis, the countermeasures and suggestions for maintaining food security were finally put forward.

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