文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Zhang Shuai ¹ ; Zhao Jinying ¹ ; Li Linyi ¹ ;

作者机构： 1.Shanghai Acad Agr Sci, Ctr Informat Technol Agr, Shanghai 201106, Peoples R China

关键词： GIS;agro-climatic divisions;scenarios;global warming

期刊名称：2009 INTERNATIONAL FORUM ON INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND APPLICATIONS, VOL 2, PROCEEDINGS

ISSN：

年卷期： 2009 年

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： Global warming is one of the present research focus, and the climate change play an important role on agriculture. According to the historical meteorological data from meteorological stations, the temperature data from regional climate model prediction dataset which is provided by National Climate Center, and the agro-climatic divisions index which is suggested by State Meteorological Administration, the background characteristics and future change characteristics of agro-climatic divisions in China has been analyzed. The results show that under the condition of global warming, temperature has change slowly but shows an increasing trend, and it has increase obviously in 2100. The boundary of agro-climatic divisions has an obviously northward movement in the recent 30 years, but until 2100, most of the agro-climatic zone has north moved obviously.