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Research on China's Aquatic Product Export Trade to ASEAN from the Perspective of the Blue Economy: An Empirical Analysis Based on the Modified Constant Market Share Model

文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Kong, Xue 1 ; Zhou, Yanbo 2 ; Yao, Wei 4 ; Zhang, Jianshe 1 ; Ma, Shengwei 2 ; Wang, Xuefeng 5 ; Chen, Mengyu 2 ; Zhang, Lei 2 ; Wang, Yu 2 ; Dang, Zhaoke 2 ; Yang, Jie 1 ; Wu, Qiaer 2 ;

作者机构： 1.Zhejiang Ocean Univ, Marine Sci & Technol Coll, Natl Engn Res Ctr Marine Facil Aquaculture, Zhoushan 316022, Peoples R China

2.Chinese Acad Fisheries Sci, South China Sea Fisheries Res Inst, Guangzhou 510300, Peoples R China

3.Minist Agr & Rural Affairs, Key Lab Offshore Fisheries Dev, Guangzhou 510300, Peoples R China

4.Guangdong Ocean Univ, Sch Econ, Zhanjiang 524088, Peoples R China

5.Guangdong Ocean Univ, Coll Fisheries, Zhanjiang 524088, Peoples R China

6.Dalian Ocean Univ, Coll Fisheries & Life Sci, Dalian 116023, Peoples R China

7.Shanghai Ocean Univ, Coll Marine Living Resource Sci & Management, Shanghai 201306, Peoples R China

关键词： China and ASEAN; aquatic product trade; modified CMS model

期刊名称：WATER （ 影响因子：3.0； 五年影响因子：3.3 ）

ISSN：

年卷期： 2025 年 17 卷 4 期

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： In recent years, with the formal implementation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and the rise of the blue economy, the trade cooperation between China and ASEAN in aquatic products has been further deepened and expanded. This paper utilizes United Nations Commodity Trade (UN Comtrade) data from 2001 to 2023 and combines the perspective of the blue economy to systematically analyze the characteristics of bilateral trade volume, growth rate, market distribution, and trade types of aquatic products between China and ASEAN. By applying the modified Constant Market Share (CMS) model, the paper conducts a factor decomposition and effect analysis of the growth factors in China's aquatic exports to ASEAN. The analysis indicates that the competitiveness effect has the highest contribution rate, and competitiveness has been the primary driver of growth in China's aquatic product export trade to ASEAN, followed by the growth effect increasing year by year, which shows the impact of the scale of demand, while the product effect is relatively low. In particular, product structure urgently needs improvement to meet the requirements of the blue economy. In ASEAN's aquatic product exports to China, demand scale serves as the main driving force, with the product variety adapting to the Chinese market as a secondary contributor. However, under the blue economy framework, product sustainability and environmental friendliness have emerged as new considerations, while the contribution of competitiveness remains relatively low, suggesting a need for further enhancement to align with green trade standards.

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