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Event exchangeability: Probabilistic sophistication without continuity or monotonicity

文献类型: 外文期刊

作者: Hong, CS 1 ; Sagi, JS 2 ;

作者机构: 1.Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Econ, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China

2.Hong Kong Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Econ, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China; Natl Univ Singapore, Dept Econ, Singapore 117548, Singapore; Univ Calif Berkeley, Walter A Haas Sch Business, Berkeley, CA 94708 USA

关键词: uncertainty;risk;ambiguity;decision theory;nonexpected utility;probabilistic sophistication

期刊名称:ECONOMETRICA ( 影响因子:5.844; 五年影响因子:7.458 )

ISSN: 0012-9682

年卷期: 2006 年 74 卷 3 期

页码:

收录情况: SCI

摘要: Building on the Ramsey-de Finetti idea of event exchangeability, we derive a characterization of probabilistic sophistication without requiring any of the various versions of monotonicity, continuity, or comparative likelihood assumptions imposed by Savage (1954), Machina and Schrneidler (1992), and Grant (1995). Our characterization identifies a unique and finitely-additive subjective probability measure over an algebra of events.

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