文献类型： 会议论文
第一作者： WAN Zhong
作者： WAN Zhong 1 ; BAI Lin 1 ; LIN Weijun 1 ; FANG Wei 1 ; DUAN Dongxia 1 ;
作者机构： 1.Institute of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development in Guangdong Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China
关键词： Agricultural;prices decomposition;Component estimates
会议名称： World agricultural outlook conference
主办单位：
页码： 69-75
摘要： According to the data characteristics of pigs、 eggs and early indica rice, rice varieties broken down into the season, trend, cycle, and the random component, with the method of X-12, H-P Adjustments and estimate.It turns out that: random shocks in most years less the impact of pigs、 eggs and early indica rice prices, deterministic trend is dominated by abnormal price fluctuations less.In addition, the pig、 egg and early indica rice price since 2000 experienced a total of three complete cycles, average cycle length of 39 months.
分类号： S
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