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The effect of haze pollution on rural-to-urban migrants' long-term residence intentions

文献类型： 外文期刊

作者： Zhao, Qingjun 1 ; Wang, Yue 2 ;

作者机构： 1.Coll Econ & Management, Huzhou Coll, Huzhou 313000, Peoples R China

2.Jiangsu Acad Agr Sci, Inst Agr Econ & Dev, Nanjing 210014, Peoples R China

关键词： Haze pollution; Rural-to-urban Migrants; Long-term residence intention; China

期刊名称：ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH （ 影响因子：5.8； 五年影响因子：5.4 ）

ISSN： 0944-1344

年卷期： 2024 年 31 卷 4 期

页码：

收录情况： SCI

摘要： Severe haze pollution in China threatens human health, and its negative effect hampers rural-to-urban migrants' settlement intentions in destination cities. Using the 2017 China Migrants Dynamic Survey Data (CMDS), the satellite data of PM2.5, and city-level data, this study investigates the impact of haze pollution on rural migrants, long-term residence intentions in Chinese context with IV-probit model, and mediating effect model. Overall, we find an inverted U-shaped relationship between the level of haze pollutants and rural migrants' long-term settlement intentions. Robustness check using multi-measures and thermal inversion as the instrumental variable supports this conclusion. The mediating effect model shows haze pollution plays its role through two opposite mechanisms: signal effect and health effect. When the size of signal effect is larger than health effect, rural migrants are inclined to settle down in their host cities; otherwise, they show lower settlement willingness. The turning point appears when PM2.5 concentration reaches 38.5 mu g/m3; migrants have the highest long-term residence intentions. Currently, the national average PM2.5 concentration is 40.98 mu g/m3, indicating that China is at the stage where the health effect of haze pollution holds a dominant position. Haze pollution has heterogeneous impacts on migrants' residence intentions. From the individual level, the younger generation, female, and higher-educated migrants have a higher tolerance for polluted air. From the city level, migrants who work in the city with 5 to 10 million dwellers have the highest long-term residence intention and are less sensitive to haze pollution. Thus, we propose stringent environmental regulations and more inclined public service policies to migrants.

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